As we are a national provider, my task is to predict how much of our total AEB contract will be allocated to each MCA and GLA – the “devo-commissioners”.
My previous estimates of what share of our own contract would go to devo-commissioners were based on learner numbers, or a combination of the Adult Skills Formula and Community Learning student numbers. Now (June 2018) we have received a letter “giving you data to help you model and estimate your 2019 to 2020 ESFA allocation.”
The letter makes clear that the formula will be used for Adult Skills, but for Community Learning it tantalisingly states: “We will … determine an average unit cost for each community learning qualification weighted by the programme weighting factor associated with the SSA …”.
I have been trying to figure out what that means and my interpretation is as follows.
Say we deliver three learning aims, LA1 LA2 and LA3. Their PW factors respectively are PW1 PW2 and PW3. The number of students achieving each learning aim are NS1 NS2 and NS3. The unweighted average unit cost is UC.
Therefore the total cost TC must be NS1 x UC x PW1 + NS2 x UC x PW2 + NS3 x UC x PW3
Hence UC = TC/(NS1 x PW1 + NS2 x PW2 +NS3 x PW3)
So: add up the number of achieved learning aims in each programme weighting, and multiply each total by its programme weighting factor, then divide the total CL funding by the sum of the aforementioned weighted totals to obtain the unweighted unit cost. Then weight this unit cost by the appropriate PW factor to determine the value of each learning delivery, and allocate that to your devo area by student postcode.
I’d be interested to know what anyone else thinks!